Confused by the predictions? Even the experts can't agree — but one theory might explain what's really going on.

In practice, a recession is generally defined as at least two consecutive quarters of a decrease in gross domestic product.

The debate over whether the U.S. is heading into a recession in 2025 is intensifying, with economists, policymakers and business leaders offering conflicting perspectives. While some indicators ...

Recession has been a term thrown around a lot in the past several years. Even though the stock market is back near record highs, trade tariffs, continued inflationary concerns and unknown effects from ...

We project that in the next six weeks, the probability of a U.S. recession getting started in the next twelve months will be ...

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said some sectors were in a recession as he argued for more interest rate cuts.

How is the economy doing? It’s a question that many of us are asking, given all of the uncertainty created by President Trump’s tariffs. Should we spend money or tighten our belts? The answer to that ...

For months, people have been talking about indicators of the dreaded R-word: recession. There have been the usual suspects: economists, investors, businesspeople and journalists. But maybe the most ...

NPR's Ayesha Rascoe asks Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist for New Century Advisors, what the latest job figures tell us about the state of the economy. How is the economy doing? It's a question that many ...